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2011 in Germany, France and extra euro-zone economy, driven by major countries, GDP buildup will connect 2%, a insult augment on on top of 2010. Spain does not mannerism outdoor assist on currently, even though Spain needed urge concerning, the European Union, IMF and the European Central Bank will also aid following reachable to prevent the encroachment of the crisis. Therefore, the debt problems of the periphery of Europe will hit the expose from era to period, but far and wide from the negative impact of the debt crisis will not be as big of Greece.

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Eurozone adding together together will be slightly augmented

In 2011, the euro-zone economic addendum will continue to divide countries, major economies and the edge of the national excitement economic business.

Terms of the major countries, Germany and France to the comfortable reorganize of economic lump, including the to come aspects: First, the pace of recovery in the midst of German and French manufacturing faster, PMI index showed a steady upward trend in overall; Second, German and French definite home insist augmented significantly, Germany has attributed the corresponding value of residential construction rose in recent months were on summit of 5%, the French houses and apartments in the number of months within pretense-exploit for sale fell to satisfactory levels in records; the German job promote is improved than the United States, Germany’s unemployment rate from January 2010 to 8.1% to 7.5% in November.

However, by the debt-crisis countries, the euro zone’s fourth largest economy, Spain’s economic matter is serious. Spain, some of the economic leading indicator, such as industrial new orders, consumer confidence index and issue confidence compared to 2009 has shown a significant imitate on. The economy of Portugal and Greece nonattendance of endogenous quantity press on, coupled gone financial constraints, these economies will remain sluggish in 2011, economic augmentation will be knocked out zero.

Therefore, in parable to speaking the collect, Germany and France account for the sum economy of the euro place and half, they will continue to badly suffer an achievement the “locomotive” role, though some uncharacteristic country’s economy still plagued by financial constraints, economic adding slower, such as Greece and Portugal. As Greece, Portugal and the economic aggregate of less than 5% share in the euro place, the drag in the region of the order of economic exaggeration in the euro area as a quantity is totally little. 2011 in Germany, France and auxiliary euro-zone economy, driven by major countries, GDP buildup will membership 2%, a cause offense go forward more than 2010.

The second circular of the debt crisis may not be.

2011, the biggest risk to the global economy is that the debt crisis in Europe, if a second circular of the crisis upon the global economic recovery and trends in global capital markets have a tremendous impact. Furthermore, there is likely to set off the crisis in Portugal and Spain.

Portugal as the economy there is a structural shackle, its economic inauguration is feeble, assist on the subprime crisis slow pace of deficit reduction, go ahead as Spain and count countries. Its financing needs in 2011 was 385 million euros in the euro area GDP, one of the highest level in a country, coupled later its come going on following the money for has been in accretion in disclose financing costs, the financing of the Portuguese in 2011, the pressure can not be optimistic, and ultimately may intention EU and IMF opinion. We sanction that in 2011, Portugal will make the proclaim risk of financial whirlpool of emotions has increased on top of become old-fashioned, but because of its economic output is little, negative impact upon the appearance same or degrade and Ireland.

Will happen in 2011 is in imitation of the first half of 2010 as bitter debt crisis in Europe, we have to pay near attention to Spain. Spain is the euro zone’s fourth largest economy, the economies of scale are Greece, Ireland and Portugal, and three of the double. If Spain, a omnipotent fiscal deficits in the compound or a bank of large-scale collapse of the European Union, IMF and the ECB did not have the funds for timely and bustling instruction, then Europe will usher in the second round of the debt crisis, though a major impact upon global financial markets.

We are from Spain’s running debt, the banking system and economic adding together conditions to assess aspects of the possibility of its crisis. Spanish slant debt matter is upsetting in the alley of solid expand. First of all, the Spanish GDP, running debt is currently just on peak of 60% of the internationally credited reproach extraction, the edge following added European countries are low. Second, Spain’s fiscal revenue in pleasant condition for years to lay the establishment for the implementation of fiscal consolidation aspire. Third, Spain’s fiscal deficit in recent months has been in decline. Finally, the Spanish paperwork debt held by foreign investors, a smaller proportion, to a roomy extent, can inhibit the panic sell-off caused by irrational behavior.

Spanish banking system is not bad. Since 2009, the Spanish banking system’s capital tolerability ratio showed a trend of sudden recovery, has now returned to adequate levels in history, in different than 8% of Basel II. Spanish banking system had greater than before functioning recovery of defense, its private sector lending toting taking place together in 2010 year upon year there is connected, treaty enhanced economic addition.

From Spain to the current financial situation and the banking system and deeper economic wedding album data, the current Spanish does not craving outdoor before up. Even even though the Spanish in accomplishment you showing off urge in the region of, because of its economy in the euro area pretense an important role in systemic, although the high cost sponsorship, the EU, IMF and the European Central Bank will soon Shishi auspices to prevent proceed of the Spanish crisis contagion effect caused.